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by Peter MCDONALD
Strong cultural divisions associated with issues of fertility explain why some developed countries do not have the problem of low birth rates.
round 1980, no country on this list had a fertility rate
less than 1.5 births per woman, below which level
fertility is widely understood to be unacceptably low.
In 2002 all the countries in Group 1 had fertility rates above 1.5,
and all the countries in Group 2 had rates below 1.5. When surveyed
by the United Nations in both 1997 and 2003, each country falling
below 1.5 stated that its fertility rate was "too low." Why have
Group 1 countries sustained fertility rates above 1.5 whereas Group
2 countries’ fertility rate has fallen?
First, all the Group 2 countries fall into one of three distinct
categories - Southern European, German-speaking, or East Asian
- whereas Group 1 comprises Nordic countries and all English-
French- and Dutch-speaking countries, thus demonstrating a
strong culture divide. Second, explanations of very low fertility
fall into two broad dimensions or commonalities - gender and
economic distinctions. The cultural split and, by implication, the
fertility division between Group 1 and Group 2 correlate strongly
with the gender dimension and loosely with the economic
dimension.
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